Eugene City Councilor Ward 8

Hydropower decline in Western US strains grids

12 October 2021

 Randy Groves

Comments from Councilor Groves: In addition to federal policies and the courts imposing measures to preserve fish, habitat and endangered species, hydroelectric generation capacity, one of our largest sources of renewable energy, is also being reduced by drought. We must find a way to navigate these unprecedented times.

Hydropower decline in Western US strains grids

Michael Phillis ASSOCIATED PRESS ST. LOUIS – After water levels at a California dam fell to historic lows this summer, the main hydropower plant it feeds was shut down.

At the Hoover Dam in Nevada – one of the country’s biggest hydropower generators – production is down by 25%.

If extreme drought persists, federal officials say a dam in Arizona could stop producing electricity in coming years.

Severe drought across the West drained reservoirs this year, slashing hydropower production and further stressing the region’s power grids. And as extreme weather becomes more common with climate change, grid operators are adapting to swings in hydropower generation.

'The challenge is finding the right resource, or mix of resources, that can provide the same energy and power outputs as hydro,' said Lindsay Buckley, a spokesperson for the California Energy Commission.

U.S. hydropower generation is expected to decline 14% this year compared with 2020, according to a recent federal forecast. The projected drops are concentrated in Western states that rely more heavily on hydropower, with California’s production expected to fall by nearly half.

The reductions complicate grid operations since hydropower is a relatively flexible renewable energy source that can be easily turned up or down, experts say, such as in the evenings when the sun goes down and solar energy generation drops.

'Hydro is a big part of the plan for making the whole system work together,' said Severin Borenstein, a renewable energy expert at the University of California, Berkeley and board member of the California Independent System Operator, which manages the state’s electric grid.

Borenstein noted that hydropower is important as the state works to build out its electricity storage options, including by installing batteries that can dispatch energy when it is needed.

Ben Kujala of the Northwest Power and Conservation Council, which handles power planning for the Columbia River basin, also noted that grid operators have adapted how they deploy hydropower in recent years to ensure that it complements solar and wind energy.

Power grids linking Western regions also offer some relief. While California can face multiyear stretches of dry weather, the Pacific Northwest usually gets enough precipitation in the winter to recover and produce hydropower to export.

But this year, the Northwest was also hit by extreme heat and less precipitation, according to Crystal Raymond, a climate change researcher at the University of Washington. While energy planners account for drought years, Raymond said climate change over the long term may further reduce the amounts of melting snow in mountains that fill reservoirs in the spring.

In August, California officials shut down the Edward Hyatt hydropower plant for the first time in its 60-year history after water levels at Lake Oroville sank to historic lows. The plant can produce enough power for up to 750,000 homes, but typically operates at lower levels.

At Lake Powell on the Arizona-Utah border, federal officials recently said there is a 34% chance that the Glen Canyon Dam won’t be able to produce power at some point in 2023, up from a 3% chance for next year, if extreme drought persists.

Declines in hydropower production in California this summer coincided with heat waves, forcing the state to buy extra power. To prevent outages in late September, state officials said they were deploying temporary emergency generators.

A houseboat rests in a cove at Lake Powell near Page, Ariz. Water levels hit historic lows this summer amid a climate change-fueled megadrought engulfing the U.S. West. Rick Bowmer/AP

Copyright © 2021 The Register-Guard 10/12/2021

Randy Groves